AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 20, 2022

Fgura United

Home
VS
17:00

Mgarr United

Away
AI Predictions 41.5% Confidence
Fgura United Win
41.5%
Draw
25.7%
Mgarr United Win
32.8%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 43%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fgura United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Mgarr United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (40%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
Fgura United Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 0-1
Oct 31 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Mgarr Uniā€¦ 1-0
Feb 02 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Sirens 5-0
Dec 10 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 2-2
Mgarr United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 0-2
Feb 06 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Marsa 1-0
Nov 27 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Swieqi Unā€¦ 1-2
Nov 23 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 3-0
Oct 31 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Fgura Uniā€¦ 1-0
Oct 17 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Marsa 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fgura United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Mgarr United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 31, 2021 Mgarr United 1 - 0 Fgura United Challenge Leagā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fgura United Power 0
Mgarr United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Fgura United Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Mgarr United Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.