AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jan 01, 2025

Northampton Town FC

Home
VS
15:00

Stevenage

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Northampton Town FC Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Stevenage Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.30 - 2.77
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (18%) 0-3 (16%) 0-1 (13%) 1-2 (5%) 1-3 (5%) 0-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Northampton Town FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Northampt… vs Shrewsbury 1-1
Dec 29 Northampt… vs Shrewsbury 1-1
Dec 26 Northampt… vs Reading FC 4-1
Dec 26 Northampt… vs Reading FC 4-1
Dec 21 Northampt… vs Charlton 0-5
Dec 17 Northampt… vs Peterboro… 3-0
Dec 14 Northampt… vs Rotherham… 3-0
Dec 14 Northampt… vs Rotherham… 3-0
Dec 09 Northampt… vs Peterboro… 2-1
Dec 09 Northampt… vs Peterboro… 2-1
Stevenage Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Stevenage vs Bristol C… 3-0
Dec 26 Stevenage vs Wycombe 0-3
Dec 21 Stevenage vs Blackpool 0-0
Dec 14 Stevenage vs Stockport 2-1
Dec 14 Stevenage vs Stockport 2-1
Dec 10 Stevenage vs Brighton 0-4
Dec 03 Stevenage vs Northampt… 2-0
Dec 03 Stevenage vs Northampt… 2-0
Nov 30 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 0-1
Nov 23 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stevenage in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Northampton Town FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 0 Northampton Town FC League One
Dec 03, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 0 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3 - 0 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3 - 0 Northampton Town FC League One
Aug 05, 2023 Northampton Town FC 0 - 1 Stevenage League One
Apr 01, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 1 Stevenage League Two
Oct 22, 2022 Stevenage 2 - 3 Northampton Town FC League Two
Mar 15, 2022 Stevenage 1 - 2 Northampton Town FC League Two
Oct 19, 2021 Northampton Town FC 3 - 0 Stevenage League Two
Nov 17, 2020 Northampton Town FC 0 - 0 Stevenage EFL Trophy
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Stevenage Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Northampton Town FC Position

-15

Position Gap

8

Stevenage Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.