AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Dec 03, 2024

Stevenage

Home
VS
19:45

Northampton Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Northampton Town FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.56 - 0.69
Key Insights
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (16%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 0-1
Nov 23 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Nov 23 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Nov 09 Stevenage vs Reading FC 1-1
Nov 09 Stevenage vs Reading FC 1-1
Oct 29 Stevenage vs Bolton 1-4
Oct 29 Stevenage vs Bolton 1-4
Oct 26 Stevenage vs Rotherham… 2-0
Oct 22 Stevenage vs Cambridge… 0-2
Oct 19 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 0-1
Northampton Town FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Northampt… vs Wigan 2-1
Nov 23 Northampt… vs Cambridge… 0-0
Nov 16 Northampt… vs Blackpool 0-0
Nov 16 Northampt… vs Blackpool 0-0
Nov 12 Northampt… vs Brighton 2-5
Nov 09 Northampt… vs Birmingham 1-1
Oct 29 Northampt… vs Lincoln 2-1
Oct 26 Northampt… vs Crawley T… 3-0
Oct 22 Northampt… vs Stockport 1-1
Oct 22 Northampt… vs Stockport 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3 - 0 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3 - 0 Northampton Town FC League One
Aug 05, 2023 Northampton Town FC 0 - 1 Stevenage League One
Apr 01, 2023 Northampton Town FC 1 - 1 Stevenage League Two
Oct 22, 2022 Stevenage 2 - 3 Northampton Town FC League Two
Mar 15, 2022 Stevenage 1 - 2 Northampton Town FC League Two
Oct 19, 2021 Northampton Town FC 3 - 0 Stevenage League Two
Nov 17, 2020 Northampton Town FC 0 - 0 Stevenage EFL Trophy
Final Verdict

MASTER: Stevenage to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Stevenage Power 36
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Stevenage Position

+15

Position Gap

23

Northampton Town FC Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.