AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 15, 2022

Stevenage

Home
VS
19:45

Northampton Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Northampton Town FC Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.32 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 2-2
Jan 08 Stevenage vs Walsall 3-1
Nov 13 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 1-2
Oct 23 Stevenage vs Leyton Or… 0-0
Oct 19 Stevenage vs Northampt… 3-0
Oct 09 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 2-2
Aug 28 Stevenage vs Walsall 1-0
Aug 10 Stevenage vs Bolton 2-2
Apr 17 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 0-1
Feb 20 Stevenage vs Walsall 1-1
Northampton Town FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Northampt… vs Walsall 1-1
Feb 12 Northampt… vs Port Vale 0-0
Feb 05 Northampt… vs Walsall 0-1
Oct 19 Northampt… vs Stevenage 3-0
Oct 05 Northampt… vs Walsall 1-1
Aug 24 Northampt… vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Aug 07 Northampt… vs Port Vale 1-0
May 01 Northampt… vs Blackpool 0-3
Apr 16 Northampt… vs Peterboro… 3-1
Mar 27 Northampt… vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2021 Northampton Town FC 3 - 0 Stevenage League Two
Nov 17, 2020 Northampton Town FC 0 - 0 Stevenage EFL Trophy
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stevenage to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stevenage Power 36
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.