AI Match Insights

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League Two Mar 04, 2022

Mansfield Town FC

Home
VS
19:45

Exeter City

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Mansfield Town FC Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Exeter City Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.74 - 2.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 2.1
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mansfield Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Exeter City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Mansfield Town FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Mansfield… vs Brentford 0-2
Nov 13 Mansfield… vs Stevenage 1-2
Oct 23 Mansfield… vs Exeter Ci… 2-1
Oct 19 Mansfield… vs Port Vale 1-1
Aug 21 Mansfield… vs Brentford 2-3
May 08 Mansfield… vs Port Vale 0-3
Apr 17 Mansfield… vs Stevenage 0-1
Apr 05 Mansfield… vs Exeter Ci… 0-0
Mar 02 Mansfield… vs Brentford 1-0
Feb 17 Mansfield… vs Bolton 2-3
Exeter City Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 0-1
Feb 08 Exeter Ci… vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Nov 30 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 2-1
Nov 06 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 1-1
Oct 23 Exeter Ci… vs Mansfield… 2-1
Oct 09 Exeter Ci… vs Stevenage 2-2
Aug 14 Exeter Ci… vs Leyton Or… 3-0
Aug 10 Exeter Ci… vs Wycombe 0-0
Aug 07 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 0-0
Jul 24 Exeter Ci… vs Cardiff 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Exeter City in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2021 Exeter City 2 - 1 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Apr 05, 2021 Exeter City 0 - 0 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Sep 26, 2020 Mansfield Town FC 1 - 2 Exeter City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mansfield Town FC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mansfield Town FC Power 37
Exeter City Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.