AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Apr 05, 2021

Exeter City

Home
VS
14:00

Mansfield Town FC

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Exeter City Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Mansfield Town FC Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.26 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Exeter City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Mansfield Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Exeter City Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Exeter Ci… vs Port Vale 1-0
Mar 06 Exeter Ci… vs Leyton Or… 4-0
Feb 06 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 3-2
Feb 02 Exeter Ci… vs Stevenage 0-1
Jan 23 Exeter Ci… vs Stevenage 3-1
Jan 12 Exeter Ci… vs Bolton 1-1
Nov 14 Exeter Ci… vs Brentford 2-2
Oct 27 Exeter Ci… vs Leyton Or… 1-1
Sep 26 Exeter Ci… vs Mansfield… 1-2
Sep 19 Exeter Ci… vs Port Vale 0-2
Mansfield Town FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Mansfield… vs Brentford 1-0
Feb 17 Mansfield… vs Bolton 2-3
Jan 02 Mansfield… vs Port Vale 4-0
Nov 03 Mansfield… vs Bolton 1-1
Oct 17 Mansfield… vs Brentford 1-3
Oct 10 Mansfield… vs Stevenage 0-0
Sep 26 Mansfield… vs Exeter Ci… 1-2
Aug 22 Mansfield… vs Rotherham… 0-3
Aug 11 Mansfield… vs Peterboro… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Exeter City in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Mansfield Town FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2020 Mansfield Town FC 1 - 2 Exeter City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Exeter City to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Exeter City Power 36
Mansfield Town FC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.