AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Apr 10, 2023

Plymouth

Home
VS
14:00

Lincoln

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Plymouth Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Lincoln Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Plymouth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Plymouth vs Bolton 4-0
Feb 25 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 5-2
Jan 10 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 0-2
Jan 07 Plymouth vs Bolton 0-0
Dec 29 Plymouth vs Wycombe 1-0
Dec 02 Plymouth vs Port Vale 0-2
Nov 19 Plymouth vs Brighton 2-2
Nov 12 Plymouth vs Lincoln 1-1
Oct 22 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 2-2
Oct 01 Plymouth vs Wycombe 0-1
Lincoln Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Lincoln vs Peterboro… 0-3
Mar 11 Lincoln vs Exeter Ci… 2-1
Dec 30 Lincoln vs Bolton 1-1
Dec 26 Lincoln vs Brighton 3-0
Dec 10 Lincoln vs Wycombe 0-0
Nov 12 Lincoln vs Plymouth 1-1
Oct 29 Lincoln vs Port Vale 1-0
Oct 25 Lincoln vs Burnley 0-1
Oct 01 Lincoln vs Bolton 2-0
Sep 20 Lincoln vs Doncaster 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lincoln struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 12, 2022 Lincoln 1 - 1 Plymouth League One
Jan 22, 2022 Plymouth 1 - 2 Lincoln League One
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2 - 2 Plymouth League One
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4 - 3 Lincoln League One
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2 - 0 Lincoln FA Cup
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plymouth Power 33
Lincoln Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Plymouth Position

-13

Position Gap

2

Lincoln Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.