AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Nov 12, 2022

Lincoln

Home
VS
15:00

Plymouth

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Lincoln Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Plymouth Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.94 - 0.99
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (15%) 0-1 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (14%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Lincoln Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Lincoln vs Port Vale 1-0
Oct 25 Lincoln vs Burnley 0-1
Oct 01 Lincoln vs Bolton 2-0
Sep 20 Lincoln vs Doncaster 1-2
Aug 30 Lincoln vs Burnley 0-3
Aug 20 Lincoln vs Peterboro… 4-0
Aug 09 Lincoln vs Doncaster 0-3
Jul 30 Lincoln vs Exeter Ci… 1-1
Apr 09 Lincoln vs Wigan 1-3
Feb 22 Lincoln vs Bolton 3-1
Plymouth Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 2-2
Oct 01 Plymouth vs Wycombe 0-1
Aug 30 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 1-1
Aug 27 Plymouth vs Bolton 2-0
Aug 13 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 2-0
Aug 10 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 0-2
Apr 23 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-1
Apr 15 Plymouth vs Wycombe 2-0
Apr 09 Plymouth vs Brighton 0-0
Mar 12 Plymouth vs Bolton 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Plymouth in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Lincoln struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 22, 2022 Plymouth 1 - 2 Lincoln League One
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2 - 2 Plymouth League One
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4 - 3 Lincoln League One
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2 - 0 Lincoln FA Cup
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

MASTER: Lincoln to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lincoln Power 42
Plymouth Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lincoln Position

+13

Position Gap

15

Plymouth Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.