AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jan 22, 2022

Plymouth

Home
VS
15:00

Lincoln

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Plymouth Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lincoln Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 2.06 - 1.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Plymouth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-2
Nov 23 Plymouth vs Wycombe 0-3
Oct 19 Plymouth vs Bolton 3-0
Oct 09 Plymouth vs Brighton 2-1
Oct 02 Plymouth vs Lincoln 2-2
Sep 25 Plymouth vs Doncaster 2-1
Aug 10 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 0-4
Aug 07 Plymouth vs Rotherham… 2-0
Jul 17 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 1-1
Apr 17 Plymouth vs Brighton 1-1
Lincoln Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Lincoln vs Doncaster 0-0
Oct 26 Lincoln vs Wigan 1-2
Oct 02 Lincoln vs Plymouth 2-2
Sep 25 Lincoln vs Brighton 1-2
Aug 31 Lincoln vs Brentford 0-3
Aug 21 Lincoln vs Wycombe 1-0
Aug 17 Lincoln vs Bolton 0-1
May 30 Lincoln vs Blackpool 2-1
May 01 Lincoln vs Peterboro… 3-3
Apr 10 Lincoln vs Blackpool 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lincoln in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 02, 2021 Lincoln 2 - 2 Plymouth League One
Feb 27, 2021 Plymouth 4 - 3 Lincoln League One
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2 - 0 Lincoln FA Cup
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plymouth Power 33
Lincoln Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Plymouth Position

-13

Position Gap

2

Lincoln Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.