AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 27, 2021

Plymouth

Home
VS
15:00

Lincoln

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Plymouth Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lincoln Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.16 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Plymouth Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 0-3
Dec 12 Plymouth vs Bristol R… 3-0
Nov 28 Plymouth vs Lincoln 2-0
Nov 24 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 1-0
Oct 27 Plymouth vs Doncaster 2-1
Oct 24 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-1
Oct 20 Plymouth vs Lincoln 2-0
Oct 17 Plymouth vs Northampt… 2-1
Oct 10 Plymouth vs Brighton 2-0
Sep 15 Plymouth vs Leyton Or… 3-2
Lincoln Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Lincoln vs Wigan 1-2
Jan 30 Lincoln vs Doncaster 0-1
Jan 09 Lincoln vs Peterboro… 1-1
Dec 01 Lincoln vs Wigan 2-1
Nov 28 Lincoln vs Plymouth 2-0
Oct 31 Lincoln vs Doncaster 1-0
Oct 20 Lincoln vs Plymouth 2-0
Oct 03 Lincoln vs Blackpool 2-3
Sep 15 Lincoln vs Brentford 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Plymouth struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 28, 2020 Plymouth 2 - 0 Lincoln FA Cup
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plymouth Power 33
Lincoln Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Plymouth Position

-13

Position Gap

2

Lincoln Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.