AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Nov 28, 2020

Plymouth

Home
VS
15:00

Lincoln

Away
AI Predictions 36.8% Confidence
Plymouth Win
36.5%
Draw
26.7%
Lincoln Win
36.8%
Away Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.51 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Plymouth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Plymouth vs Peterboro… 1-0
Oct 27 Plymouth vs Doncaster 2-1
Oct 24 Plymouth vs Wigan 1-1
Oct 20 Plymouth vs Lincoln 2-0
Oct 17 Plymouth vs Northampt… 2-1
Oct 10 Plymouth vs Brighton 2-0
Sep 15 Plymouth vs Leyton Or… 3-2
Lincoln Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Lincoln vs Doncaster 1-0
Oct 20 Lincoln vs Plymouth 2-0
Oct 03 Lincoln vs Blackpool 2-3
Sep 15 Lincoln vs Brentford 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lincoln in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2020 Lincoln 2 - 0 Plymouth League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Plymouth to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Plymouth Power 33
Lincoln Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.