AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Oct 20, 2020

Lincoln

Home
VS
18:00

Plymouth

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Lincoln Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Plymouth Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.79 - 1.85
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (5%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Lincoln Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Lincoln vs Blackpool 2-3
Sep 15 Lincoln vs Brentford 0-5
Plymouth Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Plymouth vs Northampt… 2-1
Oct 10 Plymouth vs Brighton 2-0
Sep 15 Plymouth vs Leyton Or… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: Lincoln to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lincoln Power 42
Plymouth Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lincoln Position

+13

Position Gap

15

Plymouth Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.