AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Apr 27, 2024

Cosmos

Home
VS
16:15

San Giovanni

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Cosmos Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
San Giovanni Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.55 - 1.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cosmos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Cosmos Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Cosmos vs Faetano 0-3
Mar 16 Cosmos vs Virtus 1-0
Mar 12 Cosmos vs Pennarossa 6-2
Mar 02 Cosmos vs Juvenes /… 2-1
Feb 20 Cosmos vs Tre Fiori 1-1
Feb 17 Cosmos vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Jan 28 Cosmos vs San Giova… 0-3
Jan 23 Cosmos vs Folgore 2-1
Jan 20 Cosmos vs Domagnano 1-3
Jan 13 Cosmos vs Faetano 7-1
San Giovanni Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Mar 14 San Giova… vs Domagnano 3-1
Mar 03 San Giova… vs Libertas 2-1
Feb 25 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Feb 21 San Giova… vs Fiorentino 1-1
Feb 10 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 1-3
Feb 03 San Giova… vs Murata 0-1
Jan 28 San Giova… vs Cosmos 0-3
Jan 24 San Giova… vs Tre Fiori 3-1
Jan 21 San Giova… vs San Marin… 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cosmos in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • San Giovanni in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2024 San Giovanni 0 - 3 Cosmos Campionato
Sep 30, 2023 Cosmos 0 - 0 San Giovanni Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cosmos Power 0
San Giovanni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Cosmos Position

+4

Position Gap

13

San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.