AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Jan 19, 2025

Faetano

Home
VS
14:00

Cailungo

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Faetano Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cailungo Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.86 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Faetano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cailungo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Faetano Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Faetano vs Fiorentino 1-0
Dec 21 Faetano vs Murata 1-0
Dec 07 Faetano vs Folgore 0-2
Dec 01 Faetano vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Nov 23 Faetano vs Juvenes /… 1-0
Nov 08 Faetano vs Domagnano 1-1
Oct 27 Faetano vs Cosmos 0-2
Oct 22 Faetano vs Pennarossa 0-0
Oct 18 Faetano vs Pennarossa 2-0
Oct 06 Faetano vs San Marin… 3-2
Cailungo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Cailungo vs Libertas 2-2
Dec 22 Cailungo vs Pennarossa 0-4
Dec 08 Cailungo vs San Marin… 4-1
Nov 30 Cailungo vs Juvenes /… 2-0
Nov 23 Cailungo vs Virtus 0-7
Oct 22 Cailungo vs Tre Penne 4-1
Oct 18 Cailungo vs Murata 2-1
Oct 05 Cailungo vs Tre Penne 2-2
Sep 29 Cailungo vs Folgore 3-0
Sep 25 Cailungo vs Tre Penne 0-6
Key Analysis Factors
  • Faetano struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Cailungo 0 - 1 Faetano Campionato
Feb 21, 2024 Faetano 2 - 0 Cailungo Campionato
Oct 29, 2023 Cailungo 4 - 1 Faetano Campionato
Apr 06, 2023 Cailungo 5 - 2 Faetano Campionato
Dec 10, 2022 Faetano 3 - 0 Cailungo Campionato
Apr 21, 2022 Faetano 4 - 1 Cailungo Campionato
Mar 16, 2022 Cailungo 0 - 4 Faetano Campionato
Oct 27, 2021 Cailungo 0 - 2 Faetano Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Faetano Power 0
Cailungo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Faetano Position

+2

Position Gap

14

Cailungo Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.