AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 06, 2024

Libertas

Home
VS
13:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Libertas Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Murata Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.34 - 1.37
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (25%) 0-0 (18%) 0-2 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (8%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Libertas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Libertas vs San Marin… 0-1
Sep 24 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-0
Sep 20 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Sep 15 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 1-1
Apr 07 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 1-2
Mar 16 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 4-1
Mar 13 Libertas vs Tre Penne 1-3
Mar 03 Libertas vs San Giova… 2-1
Feb 24 Libertas vs Cailungo 0-1
Feb 17 Libertas vs Domagnano 0-2
Murata Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Murata vs Juvenes /… 0-1
Sep 24 Murata vs Folgore 1-0
May 18 Murata vs Tre Penne 2-3
May 11 Murata vs La Fiorit… 0-1
May 04 Murata vs La Fiorit… 1-3
Apr 30 Murata vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Apr 27 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Apr 20 Murata vs Fiorentino 3-0
Mar 16 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-1
Mar 13 Murata vs Virtus 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murata struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2024 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Sep 23, 2023 Libertas 1 - 4 Murata Campionato
Apr 15, 2023 Libertas 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Jan 08, 2023 Murata 2 - 3 Libertas Campionato
Feb 12, 2022 Libertas 3 - 0 Murata Campionato
Oct 20, 2021 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Mar 13, 2021 Murata 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Libertas to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Libertas Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Libertas Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.