AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Sep 23, 2023

Libertas

Home
VS
13:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Libertas Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Murata Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.83 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Libertas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Libertas vs Virtus 1-2
May 03 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 1-1
Apr 29 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Apr 22 Libertas vs San Giova… 1-3
Apr 15 Libertas vs Murata 0-0
Apr 05 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 0-3
Apr 01 Libertas vs Domagnano 3-0
Mar 17 Libertas vs Tre Penne 4-0
Mar 08 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-2
Feb 19 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Murata Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Murata vs Faetano 5-0
Apr 26 Murata vs Faetano 0-1
Apr 15 Murata vs Libertas 0-0
Apr 11 Murata vs Fiorentino 2-1
Apr 06 Murata vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 02 Murata vs Cailungo 2-1
Mar 19 Murata vs Virtus 5-0
Mar 07 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-1
Mar 04 Murata vs Faetano 2-5
Feb 25 Murata vs Folgore 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 Libertas 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Jan 08, 2023 Murata 2 - 3 Libertas Campionato
Feb 12, 2022 Libertas 3 - 0 Murata Campionato
Oct 20, 2021 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Mar 13, 2021 Murata 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Libertas to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Libertas Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Libertas Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.