AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Apr 15, 2023

Libertas

Home
VS
13:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Libertas Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Murata Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.23 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Libertas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 0-3
Apr 01 Libertas vs Domagnano 3-0
Mar 17 Libertas vs Tre Penne 4-0
Mar 08 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-2
Feb 19 Libertas vs Tre Fiori 0-0
Feb 12 Libertas vs Virtus 2-2
Feb 08 Libertas vs Tre Penne 0-2
Jan 25 Libertas vs Tre Penne 2-0
Jan 14 Libertas vs San Giova… 1-0
Jan 08 Libertas vs Murata 2-3
Murata Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Murata vs Fiorentino 2-1
Apr 06 Murata vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 02 Murata vs Cailungo 2-1
Mar 19 Murata vs Virtus 5-0
Mar 07 Murata vs Tre Fiori 0-1
Mar 04 Murata vs Faetano 2-5
Feb 25 Murata vs Folgore 0-2
Feb 19 Murata vs Tre Penne 2-0
Feb 11 Murata vs Juvenes /… 2-2
Jan 08 Murata vs Libertas 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Libertas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Murata in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2023 Murata 2 - 3 Libertas Campionato
Feb 12, 2022 Libertas 3 - 0 Murata Campionato
Oct 20, 2021 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Mar 13, 2021 Murata 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Libertas to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Libertas Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Libertas Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.