AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Feb 12, 2022

Libertas

Home
VS
14:00

Murata

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Libertas Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Murata Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.61 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Libertas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Libertas vs San Giova… 0-1
Dec 11 Libertas vs Juvenes /… 1-7
Nov 21 Libertas vs Virtus 0-1
Oct 20 Libertas vs Murata 1-0
Oct 16 Libertas vs San Giova… 2-0
Apr 13 Libertas vs San Giova… 0-0
Mar 13 Libertas vs Murata 0-1
Murata Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Murata vs Fiorentino 3-2
Jan 30 Murata vs Tre Penne 1-1
Nov 06 Murata vs Juvenes /… 0-0
Oct 30 Murata vs Cailungo 2-1
Oct 27 Murata vs Virtus 0-0
Oct 20 Murata vs Libertas 1-0
Oct 17 Murata vs Fiorentino 0-0
Oct 02 Murata vs Tre Penne 3-0
Sep 29 Murata vs Virtus 1-2
Sep 18 Murata vs Tre Fiori 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Libertas in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2021 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Mar 13, 2021 Murata 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Libertas to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Libertas Power 0
Murata Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Libertas Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Murata Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.