AI Match Insights

Tweede Divisie Nov 16, 2024

Almere City II

Home
VS
14:45

AFC Amsterdam

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Almere City II Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
AFC Amsterdam Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.99 - 2.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 2.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Almere City II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
AFC Amsterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-3 (4%) 3-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Almere City II Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Almere Ci… vs Excelsior… 1-1
Oct 05 Almere Ci… vs HHC 0-0
Sep 28 Almere Ci… vs FC Volend… 3-1
Sep 21 Almere Ci… vs GVVV Veen… 3-3
Aug 31 Almere Ci… vs Quick Boys 3-3
Aug 03 Almere Ci… vs AFC Amste… 1-1
Apr 13 Almere Ci… vs GVVV Veen… 3-3
Apr 06 Almere Ci… vs Quick Boys 4-1
Mar 23 Almere Ci… vs Kozakken … 3-4
Mar 02 Almere Ci… vs Sparta Ro… 2-0
AFC Amsterdam Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 AFC Amste… vs Blauw Geel 3-1
Oct 26 AFC Amste… vs Quick Boys 2-1
Sep 25 AFC Amste… vs GVVV Veen… 3-0
Aug 17 AFC Amste… vs ACV 1-1
Aug 03 AFC Amste… vs Almere Ci… 1-1
May 18 AFC Amste… vs HHC 1-2
May 11 AFC Amste… vs ACV 3-0
May 04 AFC Amste… vs Excelsior… 2-1
Feb 24 AFC Amste… vs GVVV Veen… 3-1
Feb 17 AFC Amste… vs Quick Boys 2-5
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2024 AFC Amsterdam 1 - 1 Almere City II Friendlies Clu…
Jan 13, 2024 Almere City II 1 - 5 AFC Amsterdam Tweede Divisie
Aug 19, 2023 AFC Amsterdam 4 - 1 Almere City II Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Almere City II Power 0
AFC Amsterdam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Almere City II Position

+3

Position Gap

9

AFC Amsterdam Position

Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.