AI Match Insights
Tweede Divisie Jan 25, 2025
Excelsior Maassluis
HomeVS
13:30
Spakenburg
AwayAI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Excelsior Maassluis Win
Draw
Spakenburg Win
Away Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 33%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.30 - 1.71
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%)
0-2 (20%)
0-0 (13%)
0-3 (11%)
1-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Excelsior Maassluis Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18 | Excelsior… vs Dordrecht | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Excelsior… vs Koninklij… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Excelsior… vs Katwijk | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Excelsior… vs De Treffe… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Excelsior… vs Almere Ci… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… | 4-0 |
| Aug 31 | Excelsior… vs Spakenburg | 4-1 |
| Aug 24 | Excelsior… vs Dordrecht | 1-2 |
| Aug 17 | Excelsior… vs Koninklij… | 3-0 |
Spakenburg Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | Spakenburg vs FC Volend… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… | 1-2 |
| Oct 31 | Spakenburg vs Katwijk | 2-4 |
| Oct 26 | Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… | 0-5 |
| Oct 19 | Spakenburg vs De Treffe… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Spakenburg vs Dordrecht | 4-1 |
| Oct 05 | Spakenburg vs Koninklij… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Spakenburg vs Katwijk | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Spakenburg vs ACV | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Spakenburg vs Excelsior… | 4-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Spakenburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- Excelsior Maassluis struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Spakenburg | 4 - 1 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis | 1 - 1 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Spakenburg | 4 - 2 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Excelsior Maassluis | 0 - 2 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 04, 2022 | Spakenburg | 0 - 1 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| May 28, 2022 | Excelsior Maassluis | 4 - 0 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 09, 2021 | Spakenburg | 4 - 2 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Excelsior Maassluis Power
0
Spakenburg Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
16
Excelsior Maassluis Position-11
Position Gap5
Spakenburg Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.