AI Match Insights

Tweede Divisie Jan 25, 2025

Excelsior Maassluis

Home
VS
13:30

Spakenburg

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Excelsior Maassluis Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Spakenburg Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.30 - 1.71
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%) 0-2 (20%) 0-0 (13%) 0-3 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Excelsior Maassluis Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Excelsior… vs Dordrecht 2-0
Jan 11 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 0-0
Dec 14 Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… 0-2
Nov 30 Excelsior… vs Katwijk 1-1
Nov 16 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 0-2
Oct 12 Excelsior… vs Almere Ci… 1-1
Sep 14 Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… 4-0
Aug 31 Excelsior… vs Spakenburg 4-1
Aug 24 Excelsior… vs Dordrecht 1-2
Aug 17 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 3-0
Spakenburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Spakenburg vs FC Volend… 1-2
Nov 09 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 1-2
Oct 31 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-4
Oct 26 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 0-5
Oct 19 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 0-2
Oct 12 Spakenburg vs Dordrecht 4-1
Oct 05 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 0-0
Sep 14 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 0-0
Sep 07 Spakenburg vs ACV 1-2
Aug 31 Spakenburg vs Excelsior… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spakenburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Excelsior Maassluis struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2024 Spakenburg 4 - 1 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Feb 24, 2024 Excelsior Maassluis 1 - 1 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Sep 23, 2023 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Feb 11, 2023 Excelsior Maassluis 0 - 2 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Oct 04, 2022 Spakenburg 0 - 1 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
May 28, 2022 Excelsior Maassluis 4 - 0 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Spakenburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position

-11

Position Gap

5

Spakenburg Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.