AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Aug 31, 2024

Spakenburg

Home
VS
13:00

Excelsior Maassluis

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Spakenburg Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Excelsior Maassluis Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 3.30 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.7 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Spakenburg Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Spakenburg vs FC Volend… 4-0
May 25 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 1-3
Apr 20 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 1-2
Mar 09 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 4-3
Mar 02 Spakenburg vs ACV 2-1
Feb 24 Spakenburg vs Excelsior… 1-1
Feb 17 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-2
Jan 27 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 2-1
Dec 19 Spakenburg vs Excelsior 2-3
Dec 16 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 3-0
Excelsior Maassluis Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Excelsior… vs Dordrecht 1-2
Aug 17 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 3-0
Aug 03 Excelsior… vs Ijsselmee… 1-1
May 11 Excelsior… vs Katwijk 2-1
May 04 Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… 2-1
Apr 20 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 1-2
Apr 13 Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… 2-0
Mar 30 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 0-1
Feb 24 Excelsior… vs Spakenburg 1-1
Feb 17 Excelsior… vs Kozakken … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spakenburg in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Excelsior Maassluis struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 Excelsior Maassluis 1 - 1 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Sep 23, 2023 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Feb 11, 2023 Excelsior Maassluis 0 - 2 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Oct 04, 2022 Spakenburg 0 - 1 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
May 28, 2022 Excelsior Maassluis 4 - 0 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spakenburg to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spakenburg Power 0
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Spakenburg Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.