AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Feb 11, 2023

Excelsior Maassluis

Home
VS
13:30

Spakenburg

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Excelsior Maassluis Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Spakenburg Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.88 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Excelsior Maassluis Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Excelsior… vs Ijsselmee… 2-3
Jan 21 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 1-1
Dec 10 Excelsior… vs Kozakken … 0-1
Dec 03 Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… 1-4
Nov 12 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 0-0
Oct 29 Excelsior… vs Katwijk 3-2
Oct 04 Excelsior… vs Spakenburg 0-1
Sep 24 Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… 3-1
Sep 10 Excelsior… vs Ijsselmee… 2-2
Aug 27 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 0-2
Spakenburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 1-1
Jan 21 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 3-1
Dec 10 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 1-0
Dec 03 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-1
Nov 19 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 1-1
Oct 29 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 1-1
Oct 04 Spakenburg vs Excelsior… 0-1
Aug 27 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 0-1
Aug 20 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 2-1
Jun 04 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2022 Spakenburg 0 - 1 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
May 28, 2022 Excelsior Maassluis 4 - 0 Spakenburg Tweede Divisie
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Spakenburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position

-11

Position Gap

5

Spakenburg Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.