AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie May 28, 2022

Excelsior Maassluis

Home
VS
13:30

Spakenburg

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Excelsior Maassluis Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Spakenburg Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.95 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.3
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Excelsior Maassluis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… 2-1
May 21 Excelsior… vs Katwijk 1-0
Apr 23 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 2-0
Apr 16 Excelsior… vs Ijsselmee… 0-2
Apr 02 Excelsior… vs Kozakken … 2-3
Mar 23 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 3-0
Mar 12 Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… 3-2
Feb 19 Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… 1-1
Jan 20 Excelsior… vs Ajax 9-0
Nov 27 Excelsior… vs Katwijk 2-0
Spakenburg Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 2-3
Apr 30 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 5-2
Apr 09 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 0-3
Apr 05 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-2
Feb 26 Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… 0-6
Feb 19 Spakenburg vs De Treffe… 1-0
Nov 27 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 2-0
Oct 09 Spakenburg vs Excelsior… 4-2
Sep 25 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 3-1
Sep 04 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Excelsior Maassluis in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Spakenburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 09, 2021 Spakenburg 4 - 2 Excelsior Maassluis Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Spakenburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position

-11

Position Gap

5

Spakenburg Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.