AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Oct 09, 2021

Spakenburg

Home
VS
13:00

Excelsior Maassluis

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Spakenburg Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Excelsior Maassluis Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.75 - 1.94
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.9 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Spakenburg Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… 3-1
Sep 04 Spakenburg vs Katwijk 2-3
Oct 10 Spakenburg vs Koninklij… 1-2
Excelsior Maassluis Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Excelsior… vs De Treffe… 1-2
Sep 04 Excelsior… vs Koninklij… 3-2
Aug 28 Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… 3-0
Aug 21 Excelsior… vs Ijsselmee… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spakenburg to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spakenburg Power 0
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Spakenburg Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.