AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie May 15, 2021

Spakenburg

Home
VS
13:30

Excelsior Maassluis

Away
AI Predictions 75.0% Confidence
Spakenburg Win
75.0%
Draw
19.0%
Excelsior Maassluis Win
6.0%
Home Win (75% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Spakenburg Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Spakenburg vs Koninklijā€¦ 1-2
Excelsior Maassluis Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spakenburg to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spakenburg Power 0
Excelsior Maassluis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Spakenburg Position

+11

Position Gap

16

Excelsior Maassluis Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.