AI Match Insights
Tweede Divisie Apr 08, 2023
HHC
HomeVS
12:30
Katwijk
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
HHC Win
Draw
Katwijk Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 53%
Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.54 - 1.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.6
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HHC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Katwijk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
HHC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25 | HHC vs Rijnsburgā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | HHC vs Ijsselmeeā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | HHC vs De Treffeā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 11 | HHC vs AFC Amsteā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | HHC vs Quick Boys | 1-1 |
| Nov 12 | HHC vs Kozakken ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 15 | HHC vs Katwijk | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | HHC vs AFC Amsteā¦ | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | HHC vs Rijnsburgā¦ | 1-6 |
| Sep 17 | HHC vs Ijsselmeeā¦ | 2-0 |
Katwijk Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 04 | Katwijk vs De Treffeā¦ | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Katwijk vs Spakenburg | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Katwijk vs Spakenburg | 2-1 |
| Nov 12 | Katwijk vs Sparta Roā¦ | 3-1 |
| Nov 05 | Katwijk vs Koninklijā¦ | 1-3 |
| Oct 29 | Katwijk vs Excelsiorā¦ | 3-2 |
| Oct 15 | Katwijk vs HHC | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Katwijk vs De Treffeā¦ | 0-0 |
| Jun 04 | Katwijk vs De Treffeā¦ | 3-0 |
| May 28 | Katwijk vs Koninklijā¦ | 4-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Katwijk in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | Katwijk | 2 - 1 | HHC | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 19, 2022 | HHC | 1 - 0 | Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Katwijk | 2 - 0 | HHC | Tweede Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: HHC to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
HHC Power
0
Katwijk Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
HHC Position+10
Position Gap13
Katwijk Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.