AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 18, 2023

Nkwazi

Home
VS
13:00

Konkola Blades

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Nkwazi Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Konkola Blades Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.16 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nkwazi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Konkola Blades Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Nkwazi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 03 Nkwazi vs Green Eag… 1-0
May 07 Nkwazi vs Man Utd Z… 1-4
Apr 22 Nkwazi vs Prison Le… 1-0
Apr 01 Nkwazi vs Nkana 2-1
Mar 19 Nkwazi vs Nchanga R… 2-1
Feb 25 Nkwazi vs Green Eag… 0-2
Feb 18 Nkwazi vs Zanaco 0-1
Feb 04 Nkwazi vs Kabwe War… 3-0
Jan 28 Nkwazi vs Kansanshi… 0-1
Jan 22 Nkwazi vs ZESCO Uni… 0-0
Konkola Blades Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Konkola B… vs Prison Le… 1-2
Mar 30 Konkola B… vs Kansanshi… 0-2
Mar 05 Konkola B… vs ZESCO Uni… 2-0
Feb 05 Konkola B… vs Red Arrows 2-2
Jan 23 Konkola B… vs Nkwazi 1-1
Jan 08 Konkola B… vs Power Dyn… 1-0
Dec 08 Konkola B… vs Prison Le… 2-0
Nov 05 Konkola B… vs Kansanshi… 1-0
Oct 30 Konkola B… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-1
Sep 29 Konkola B… vs Red Arrows 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nkwazi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Konkola Blades struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2022 Nkwazi 1 - 1 Konkola Blades Super League
Sep 22, 2021 Konkola Blades 0 - 1 Nkwazi Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nkwazi Power 0
Konkola Blades Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Nkwazi Position

-4

Position Gap

10

Konkola Blades Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.