AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 16, 2024

Prison Leopards

Home
VS
13:00

Mutondo Stars

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Prison Leopards Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Mutondo Stars Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.68 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Prison Leopards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Mutondo Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Prison Leopards Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Prison Le… vs Zanaco 0-1
Feb 24 Prison Le… vs Kabwe War… 0-0
Feb 17 Prison Le… vs Kansanshi… 2-1
Jan 13 Prison Le… vs Green Eag… 1-1
Jan 07 Prison Le… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
Dec 23 Prison Le… vs Konkola B… 1-1
Dec 16 Prison Le… vs Nkwazi 0-1
Dec 09 Prison Le… vs Green Eag… 4-0
Dec 02 Prison Le… vs NAPSA Sta… 1-0
Nov 04 Prison Le… vs Man Utd Z… 2-0
Mutondo Stars Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Mutondo S… vs NAPSA Sta… 3-0
Mar 03 Mutondo S… vs Mufulira … 0-0
Jan 13 Mutondo S… vs Man Utd Z… 0-1
Dec 30 Mutondo S… vs Green Eag… 1-2
Dec 22 Mutondo S… vs Red Arrows 3-1
Dec 03 Mutondo S… vs Kansanshi… 2-0
Nov 26 Mutondo S… vs Green Eag… 0-0
Nov 11 Mutondo S… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-2
Nov 08 Mutondo S… vs Power Dyn… 2-0
Oct 21 Mutondo S… vs Prison Le… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mutondo Stars struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 21, 2023 Mutondo Stars 3 - 2 Prison Leopards Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Prison Leopards to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Prison Leopards Power 0
Mutondo Stars Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Prison Leopards Position

-1

Position Gap

16

Mutondo Stars Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.