AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Oct 21, 2023

Mutondo Stars

Home
VS
13:00

Prison Leopards

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mutondo Stars Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Prison Leopards Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.80 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mutondo Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Prison Leopards Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Mutondo Stars Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Mutondo S… vs NAPSA Sta… 3-2
Sep 30 Mutondo S… vs Mufulira … 2-1
Sep 02 Mutondo S… vs Man Utd Z… 2-0
Aug 19 Mutondo S… vs Green Eag… 0-0
Prison Leopards Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Prison Le… vs Zanaco 0-0
Sep 23 Prison Le… vs Kabwe War… 1-2
Sep 17 Prison Le… vs Kansanshi… 2-1
Sep 03 Prison Le… vs Green Eag… 1-0
Aug 27 Prison Le… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-1
May 06 Prison Le… vs Green Eag… 0-1
Apr 22 Prison Le… vs Nkwazi 1-0
Apr 01 Prison Le… vs Man Utd Z… 0-0
Mar 04 Prison Le… vs Nkana 1-1
Feb 25 Prison Le… vs Nchanga R… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mutondo Stars to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mutondo Stars Power 0
Prison Leopards Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Mutondo Stars Position

+1

Position Gap

17

Prison Leopards Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.