AI Match Insights

FA WSL Oct 15, 2023

Manchester United Women

Home
VS
11:00

Leicester City Women

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Manchester United Women Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Leicester City Women Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 3.36 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Leicester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Manchester United Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Mancheste… vs Paris Sai… 1-1
Oct 06 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 2-2
Oct 01 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 1-2
May 27 Mancheste… vs Liverpool… 0-1
May 21 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 2-1
May 07 Mancheste… vs Tottenham… 3-0
Apr 28 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 2-3
Apr 19 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Mar 25 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 4-0
Mar 05 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 5-1
Leicester City Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Leicester… vs Brighton … 0-1
May 21 Leicester… vs West Ham … 1-2
May 05 Leicester… vs Arsenal W… 1-0
Mar 15 Leicester… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Mar 05 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 5-1
Feb 04 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 0-2
Jan 18 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 15 Leicester… vs Brighton … 3-0
Nov 20 Leicester… vs West Ham … 1-0
Nov 06 Leicester… vs Arsenal W… 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Leicester City Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Manchester United W… 5 - 1 Leicester City Women FA WSL
Oct 23, 2022 Leicester City Women 0 - 1 Manchester United W… FA WSL
Mar 05, 2022 Manchester United W… 4 - 0 Leicester City Women FA WSL
Dec 05, 2021 Manchester United W… 2 - 2 Leicester City Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Manchester United Women to win (89% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 89% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester United Women Power 47
Leicester City Women Power 23
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Manchester United Women Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Leicester City Women Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.