AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA WSL Mar 05, 2023

Manchester United Women

Home
VS
12:30

Leicester City Women

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Manchester United Women Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Leicester City Women Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Leicester City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Manchester United Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Mancheste… vs Tottenham… 1-2
Jan 15 Mancheste… vs Liverpool… 6-0
Dec 11 Mancheste… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Dec 03 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 5-0
Nov 19 Mancheste… vs Arsenal W… 2-3
Oct 23 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 0-1
Oct 01 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 1-1
Sep 25 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 0-2
May 01 Mancheste… vs West Ham … 3-0
Apr 24 Mancheste… vs Aston Vil… 0-0
Leicester City Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 0-2
Jan 18 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Jan 15 Leicester… vs Brighton … 3-0
Nov 20 Leicester… vs West Ham … 1-0
Nov 06 Leicester… vs Arsenal W… 0-4
Oct 23 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Oct 16 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 4-0
Sep 18 Leicester… vs Tottenham… 1-2
May 08 Leicester… vs Tottenham… 1-0
Apr 24 Leicester… vs Mancheste… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Leicester City Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2022 Leicester City Women 0 - 1 Manchester United W… FA WSL
Mar 05, 2022 Manchester United W… 4 - 0 Leicester City Women FA WSL
Dec 05, 2021 Manchester United W… 2 - 2 Leicester City Women WSL Cup
Final Verdict

ELITE: Manchester United Women to win (89% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 89% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester United Women Power 47
Leicester City Women Power 23
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Manchester United Women Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Leicester City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.