AI Match Insights
Liga MX Feb 21, 2022
Toluca
HomeVS
00:05
Cruz Azul
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Toluca Win
Draw
Cruz Azul Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.35 - 1.10
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
49%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
Toluca Form 6.7%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16 | Toluca vs Santos La… | 3-1 |
| Nov 06 | Toluca vs Puebla | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Toluca vs Cruz Azul | 4-0 |
Cruz Azul Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16 | Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… | 1-1 |
| Sep 25 | Cruz Azul vs Puebla | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Cruz Azul vs Toluca | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Cruz Azul vs Puebla | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul | 4 - 0 | Toluca | Liga MX |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Toluca Power
0
Cruz Azul Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Toluca Position-3
Position Gap2
Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.