AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jul 20, 2024

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
23:05

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Mazatlán FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.02 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 0-2
May 19 Guadalaja… vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 16 Guadalaja… vs Club Amér… 0-0
May 12 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 0-0
May 09 Guadalaja… vs Toluca 1-0
Apr 28 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 0-1
Apr 21 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 2-0
Apr 13 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-1
Apr 07 Guadalaja… vs Puebla 3-2
Mar 31 Guadalaja… vs Monterrey 0-2
Mazatlán FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Mazatlán … vs Pachuca 1-1
Apr 20 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 0-2
Apr 13 Mazatlán … vs Querétaro 0-2
Mar 11 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 2-1
Feb 17 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 2-2
Feb 10 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-0
Feb 03 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 3-2
Jan 07 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 1-2
Dec 30 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 1-0
Oct 21 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 Mazatlán FC 2 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Sep 27, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 3 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Apr 30, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 4 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 17, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Aug 06, 2022 Mazatlán FC 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Jan 10, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Nov 06, 2021 Mazatlán FC 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Guadalajara Chivas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.