AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Sep 27, 2023

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
01:05

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Mazatlán FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 17 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-0
Aug 19 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-1
Jul 09 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 3-1
Apr 30 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 4-1
Apr 23 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Feb 12 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 1-1
Feb 05 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Jan 29 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Jan 14 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-0
Dec 31 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 0-2
Mazatlán FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 3-1
Aug 23 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 1-0
Jul 26 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-1
Jul 15 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-3
Apr 30 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 4-1
Apr 22 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-2
Feb 11 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 3-1
Feb 04 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 2-3
Jan 13 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-1
Dec 21 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Mazatlán FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 30, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 4 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 17, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Aug 06, 2022 Mazatlán FC 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Jan 10, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Nov 06, 2021 Mazatlán FC 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Guadalajara Chivas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.