AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 10, 2022

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
00:00

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 57.7% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
57.7%
Draw
22.5%
Mazatlán FC Win
19.9%
Home Win (58% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.61 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3 Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 0-1
Oct 24 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Sep 30 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-0
Sep 19 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 1-0
Aug 07 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 2-2
Jul 25 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 1-2
Jan 31 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Mazatlán FC Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Oct 20 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-0
Aug 07 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2021 Mazatlán FC 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Guadalajara Chivas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.