AI Match Insights

Liga MX Nov 06, 2021

Mazatlán FC

Home
VS
03:00

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 40.0% Confidence
Mazatlán FC Win
40.0%
Draw
26.0%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
34.0%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.93 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Mazatlán FC Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-0
Aug 07 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 1-1
Guadalajara Chivas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Sep 30 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-0
Sep 19 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 1-0
Aug 07 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 2-2
Jul 25 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 1-2
Jan 31 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mazatlán FC Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.