AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 29, 2023

Puebla

Home
VS
23:00

Club Tijuana

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Puebla Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Club Tijuana Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.82 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Puebla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Club Tijuana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Puebla Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Puebla vs Toluca 1-2
Mar 18 Puebla vs Atlas 0-4
Feb 18 Puebla vs Cruz Azul 1-3
Feb 11 Puebla vs Mazatlán … 3-1
Aug 21 Puebla vs Atlas 1-1
Aug 13 Puebla vs Club Tiju… 3-3
Aug 03 Puebla vs Toluca 1-1
Jul 24 Puebla vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Jul 02 Puebla vs Mazatlán … 2-4
May 08 Puebla vs Mazatlán … 2-2
Club Tijuana Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Club Tiju… vs Querétaro 1-2
Apr 02 Club Tiju… vs Monterrey 4-0
Mar 26 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-1
Feb 20 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-1
Feb 11 Club Tiju… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 02 Club Tiju… vs Atletico … 0-0
Aug 29 Club Tiju… vs Monterrey 0-3
Aug 20 Club Tiju… vs Querétaro 2-0
Aug 13 Club Tiju… vs Puebla 3-3
Jul 24 Club Tiju… vs Club Amér… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Puebla struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Club Tijuana struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 13, 2022 Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Puebla Liga MX
Jan 29, 2022 Puebla 3 - 1 Club Tijuana Liga MX
Aug 18, 2021 Club Tijuana 1 - 1 Puebla Liga MX
Jan 23, 2021 Puebla 0 - 1 Club Tijuana Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Puebla Power 0
Club Tijuana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Puebla Position

-6

Position Gap

8

Club Tijuana Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.