AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Mar 15, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
23:00

Santos Laguna

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Santos Laguna Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.82 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Santos Laguna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Tigres UANL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-0
Feb 16 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Feb 02 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Jan 11 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-3
Dec 02 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-0
Nov 10 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 07 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-2
Sep 14 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-0
Santos Laguna Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Santos La… vs Necaxa 3-2
Jan 30 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 1-0
Jan 21 Santos La… vs Pachuca 2-1
Oct 23 Santos La… vs Pachuca 1-1
Oct 07 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 0-2
Sep 23 Santos La… vs Toluca 2-0
Sep 02 Santos La… vs Necaxa 3-2
Jul 21 Santos La… vs Tigres UA… 0-3
Jul 14 Santos La… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Apr 29 Santos La… vs Atletico … 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos Laguna struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 21, 2024 Santos Laguna 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 11, 2024 Santos Laguna 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Aug 31, 2023 Tigres UANL 3 - 2 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Jan 09, 2023 Santos Laguna 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Dec 27, 2022 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Santos Laguna Copa por México
Aug 15, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 0 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Jan 13, 2022 Santos Laguna 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Nov 29, 2021 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres UANL to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Santos Laguna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

+10

Position Gap

17

Santos Laguna Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.