AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Aug 31, 2023

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
03:00

Santos Laguna

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Santos Laguna Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.53 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Santos Laguna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Tigres UANL Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 2-1
Jul 16 Tigres UA… vs León FC 1-0
May 14 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 3-1
May 04 Tigres UA… vs León FC 3-1
May 01 Tigres UA… vs León FC 3-0
Apr 26 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-1
Feb 12 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 4-2
Feb 05 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Jan 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Jan 09 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-3
Santos Laguna Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Santos La… vs Necaxa 0-0
Feb 24 Santos La… vs Toluca 0-5
Feb 12 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 3-1
Jan 15 Santos La… vs U.N.A.M. … 3-0
Jan 09 Santos La… vs Tigres UA… 0-3
Dec 27 Santos La… vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Oct 17 Santos La… vs Toluca 1-2
Oct 14 Santos La… vs Toluca 4-3
Sep 19 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 2-0
Sep 07 Santos La… vs Necaxa 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Santos Laguna struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 09, 2023 Santos Laguna 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Dec 27, 2022 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Santos Laguna Copa por México
Aug 15, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 0 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Jan 13, 2022 Santos Laguna 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Nov 29, 2021 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres UANL to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Santos Laguna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

+10

Position Gap

17

Santos Laguna Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.