AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Aug 15, 2022

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
00:05

Santos Laguna

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Santos Laguna Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.68 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Santos Laguna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Tigres UANL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 03 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 2-3
Mar 12 Tigres UA… vs León FC 0-3
Feb 20 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 2-1
Jan 23 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-2
Jan 13 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 1-1
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 1-0
Santos Laguna Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Santos La… vs Toluca 2-1
Mar 03 Santos La… vs U.N.A.M. … 3-2
Feb 19 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 0-0
Jan 24 Santos La… vs Necaxa 1-4
Jan 16 Santos La… vs Toluca 3-1
Jan 13 Santos La… vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Nov 29 Santos La… vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Nov 05 Santos La… vs U.N.A.M. … 0-3
Aug 29 Santos La… vs FC Juarez 2-0
Jul 24 Santos La… vs Necaxa 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres UANL in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Santos Laguna struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2022 Santos Laguna 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Nov 29, 2021 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Santos Laguna Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigres UANL to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Santos Laguna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

+10

Position Gap

17

Santos Laguna Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.