AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 25, 2025

Atletico San Luis

Home
VS
01:00

Necaxa

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Atletico San Luis Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Necaxa Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 43%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.44 - 1.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.9 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico San Luis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Necaxa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%) 3-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Atletico San Luis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 1-3
Dec 02 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 0-0
Nov 29 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 3-0
Nov 09 Atletico … vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Nov 07 Atletico … vs Necaxa 1-1
Sep 14 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 1-0
Jul 20 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 1-1
Jul 06 Atletico … vs Club Amér… 2-1
Apr 29 Atletico … vs Santos La… 0-3
Apr 20 Atletico … vs Toluca 1-5
Necaxa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Necaxa vs Atlas 1-2
Nov 10 Necaxa vs Atlas 0-0
Nov 07 Necaxa vs Atletico … 1-1
Sep 22 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 1-1
Sep 02 Necaxa vs Santos La… 3-2
Jul 18 Necaxa vs Monterrey 0-1
May 06 Necaxa vs Pachuca 2-1
May 03 Necaxa vs Querétaro 1-1
Apr 29 Necaxa vs Monterrey 2-5
Apr 21 Necaxa vs Tigres UA… 5-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2024 Necaxa 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Mar 09, 2024 Necaxa 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Oct 23, 2023 Atletico San Luis 4 - 0 Necaxa Liga MX
Jun 23, 2023 Atletico San Luis 2 - 2 Necaxa Friendlies Clu…
Jan 07, 2023 Necaxa 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Aug 07, 2022 Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Necaxa Liga MX
Jun 18, 2022 Necaxa 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis Friendlies Clu…
Apr 16, 2022 Necaxa 4 - 2 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atletico San Luis to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico San Luis Power 0
Necaxa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Atletico San Luis Position

+5

Position Gap

15

Necaxa Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.