AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 23, 2023

Atletico San Luis

Home
VS
00:00

Necaxa

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Atletico San Luis Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Necaxa Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 43%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.16 - 2.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico San Luis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Necaxa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-3 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Atletico San Luis Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 2-1
Jul 09 Atletico … vs Guadalaja… 3-1
Jun 23 Atletico … vs Necaxa 2-2
May 14 Atletico … vs Club Amér… 1-2
May 11 Atletico … vs Club Amér… 1-3
Feb 15 Atletico … vs Club Amér… 1-3
Feb 11 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 1-0
Jan 29 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 0-0
Jan 14 Atletico … vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Jan 07 Atletico … vs Necaxa 2-3
Necaxa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Necaxa vs Santos La… 2-5
Aug 24 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 3-2
Jun 23 Necaxa vs Atletico … 2-2
Apr 22 Necaxa vs Atlas 1-3
Apr 01 Necaxa vs Santos La… 0-0
Feb 19 Necaxa vs Monterrey 2-1
Feb 11 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 2-1
Jan 07 Necaxa vs Atletico … 2-3
Dec 16 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 3-3
Oct 02 Necaxa vs Atlas 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico San Luis struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 23, 2023 Atletico San Luis 2 - 2 Necaxa Friendlies Clu…
Jan 07, 2023 Necaxa 2 - 3 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Aug 07, 2022 Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Necaxa Liga MX
Jun 18, 2022 Necaxa 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis Friendlies Clu…
Apr 16, 2022 Necaxa 4 - 2 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atletico San Luis to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico San Luis Power 0
Necaxa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Atletico San Luis Position

+5

Position Gap

15

Necaxa Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.