AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 07, 2023

Necaxa

Home
VS
01:00

Atletico San Luis

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Necaxa Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Atletico San Luis Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.91 - 1.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Necaxa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Atletico San Luis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Necaxa Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 3-3
Oct 02 Necaxa vs Atlas 1-0
Sep 11 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 1-2
Sep 07 Necaxa vs Santos La… 3-1
Aug 13 Necaxa vs Monterrey 1-2
Aug 07 Necaxa vs Atletico … 1-2
Jun 18 Necaxa vs Atletico … 2-2
Apr 16 Necaxa vs Atletico … 4-2
Apr 08 Necaxa vs Atlas 2-1
Apr 03 Necaxa vs Club Amér… 0-1
Atletico San Luis Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 0-3
Sep 02 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 0-0
Aug 07 Atletico … vs Necaxa 1-2
Jul 10 Atletico … vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Jun 18 Atletico … vs Necaxa 2-2
Apr 16 Atletico … vs Necaxa 4-2
Apr 07 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 1-1
Mar 03 Atletico … vs Guadalaja… 2-2
Feb 20 Atletico … vs Tigres UA… 2-1
Sep 17 Atletico … vs Club Tiju… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Necaxa struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 07, 2022 Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Necaxa Liga MX
Jun 18, 2022 Necaxa 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis Friendlies Clu…
Apr 16, 2022 Necaxa 4 - 2 Atletico San Luis Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Necaxa Power 0
Atletico San Luis Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Necaxa Position

-5

Position Gap

10

Atletico San Luis Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.