AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 20, 2025

TapatĂ­o

Home
VS
01:00

Atlante FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
TapatĂ­o Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Atlante FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.08 - 1.55
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
TapatĂ­o Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 4-2
Mar 01 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 4-1
Feb 15 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Feb 08 TapatĂ­o vs Dorados 1-0
Jan 12 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 2-3
Dec 28 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 3-0
Nov 18 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 2-2
Nov 15 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 2-2
Nov 11 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Nov 08 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Atlante FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Nov 04 Atlante FC vs CDS Tampi… 4-0
Oct 05 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Aug 25 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
May 19 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 0-0
May 16 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 1-1
May 12 Atlante FC vs Leones Ne… 1-2
May 09 Atlante FC vs Leones Ne… 2-0
May 05 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 5-1
May 02 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • TapatĂ­o struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 05, 2024 Atlante FC 5 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 3 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Apr 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 0 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

PRO: TapatĂ­o to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Atlante FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

TapatĂ­o Position

+12

Position Gap

15

Atlante FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.