AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX May 28, 2023

TapatĂ­o

Home
VS
01:00

Atlante FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
TapatĂ­o Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Atlante FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.96 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
TapatĂ­o Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 TapatĂ­o vs Atlante FC 1-0
Mar 26 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 0-2
Mar 23 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 0-0
Jan 29 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 2-0
Oct 13 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 3-2
Sep 30 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 1-0
Sep 24 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 3-2
Mar 02 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Jan 20 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 1-0
Nov 18 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 3-0
Atlante FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 13 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Mar 31 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 0-0
Aug 29 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Mar 27 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 2-1
Nov 07 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

PRO: TapatĂ­o to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Atlante FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

TapatĂ­o Position

+12

Position Gap

15

Atlante FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.