AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Jan 29, 2024

Monarcas

Home
VS
00:05

Mineros de Zacatecas

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Mineros de Zacatecas Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.07 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Mineros de Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Monarcas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 0-0
Aug 20 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 2-0
Aug 13 Monarcas vs Correcami… 2-0
Jul 24 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 4-0
Apr 14 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 2-1
Mar 08 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 1-2
Mar 02 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 1-0
Feb 14 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-1
Oct 22 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Sep 25 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 2-2
Mineros de Zacatecas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 1-4
Aug 16 Mineros d… vs Dorados 4-0
Aug 11 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Aug 05 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 5-1
Jul 24 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 4-0
Mar 22 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 3-6
Mar 08 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 1-2
Jan 17 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 1-2
Jan 11 Mineros d… vs Dorados 1-1
Jan 05 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mineros de Zacatecas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 24, 2023 Mineros de Zacatecas 4 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Mar 08, 2023 Monarcas 1 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Sep 25, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Apr 29, 2022 Monarcas 2 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Apr 27, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
Mineros de Zacatecas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Mineros de Zacatecas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.