AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Mar 08, 2023

Monarcas

Home
VS
03:05

Mineros de Zacatecas

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Mineros de Zacatecas Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.37 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Mineros de Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Monarcas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 1-0
Feb 14 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-1
Oct 22 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Sep 25 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 2-2
Sep 23 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 0-0
Aug 27 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-3
Aug 05 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-0
Apr 29 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 2-2
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 3-3
Feb 18 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 4-1
Mineros de Zacatecas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 1-2
Jan 11 Mineros d… vs Dorados 1-1
Jan 05 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 2-0
Sep 25 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 2-2
Sep 22 Mineros d… vs Dorados 4-1
Sep 14 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Aug 17 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 2-1
Aug 11 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Apr 29 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 2-2
Apr 27 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Apr 29, 2022 Monarcas 2 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Apr 27, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
Mineros de Zacatecas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Mineros de Zacatecas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.