AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 25, 2022

Mineros de Zacatecas

Home
VS
02:05

Monarcas

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mineros de Zacatecas Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Monarcas Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.80 - 1.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 2.0
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mineros de Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Mineros de Zacatecas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Mineros d… vs Dorados 4-1
Sep 14 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Aug 17 Mineros d… vs CA La Paz 2-1
Aug 11 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Apr 29 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 2-2
Apr 27 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 3-3
Apr 20 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 2-0
Mar 28 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 3-4
Mar 10 Mineros d… vs Dorados 0-1
Feb 22 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 4-2
Monarcas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 0-0
Aug 27 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-3
Aug 05 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-0
Apr 29 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 2-2
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 3-3
Feb 18 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 4-1
Feb 09 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-1
Jan 29 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Jan 12 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 1-2
Oct 14 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2022 Monarcas 2 - 2 Mineros de Zacatecas Liga de Expans…
Apr 27, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mineros de Zacatecas Power 0
Monarcas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Mineros de Zacatecas Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Monarcas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.