AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 29, 2022

Monarcas

Home
VS
22:00

Mineros de Zacatecas

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Mineros de Zacatecas Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.16 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Mineros de Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Monarcas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 3-3
Feb 18 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 4-1
Feb 09 Monarcas vs Correcami… 1-1
Jan 29 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Jan 12 Monarcas vs Mineros d… 1-2
Oct 14 Monarcas vs CancĂşn 0-1
Sep 24 Monarcas vs Alebrijes… 1-0
Aug 27 Monarcas vs Correcami… 2-1
Feb 06 Monarcas vs Correcami… 2-1
Mineros de Zacatecas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 3-3
Apr 20 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 2-0
Mar 28 Mineros d… vs Tlaxcala 3-4
Mar 10 Mineros d… vs Dorados 0-1
Feb 22 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 4-2
Jan 12 Mineros d… vs Monarcas 1-2
Sep 30 Mineros d… vs Dorados 1-4
Sep 14 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 2-1
Apr 21 Mineros d… vs Alebrijes… 6-0
Jan 13 Mineros d… vs Dorados 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mineros de Zacatecas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Jan 12, 2022 Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 2 Monarcas Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
Mineros de Zacatecas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Mineros de Zacatecas Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.