AI Match Insights
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 22, 2025
Venados FC
HomeVS
01:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
Draw
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
Venados FC Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 08 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Venados FC vs Tlaxcala | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Venados FC vs Dorados | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Venados FC vs TapatĂo | 2-2 |
| Sep 08 | Venados FC vs Alebrijes… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 3-1 |
| Apr 10 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 0-1 |
| Apr 04 | Venados FC vs CancĂşn | 2-0 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 09 | Alebrijes… vs Monarcas | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Alebrijes… vs Cancún | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… | 0-1 |
| Sep 08 | Alebrijes… vs Venados FC | 1-0 |
| Aug 25 | Alebrijes… vs Monarcas | 1-1 |
| Aug 11 | Alebrijes… vs Cancún | 0-2 |
| Aug 03 | Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… | 3-0 |
| Apr 21 | Alebrijes… vs CA La Paz | 3-2 |
| Apr 18 | Alebrijes… vs Cimarrones | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Alebrijes… vs Monarcas | 3-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 08, 2024 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Venados FC | 2 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Sep 05, 2023 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 2 - 1 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Venados FC | 2 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Jul 08, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Oct 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 1 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 2 - 2 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Venados FC Power
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
8
Venados FC Position+2
Position Gap10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.